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518                      Dissenting Statement


              Freddie Mac. As noted earlier, in its limited review of the role of the GSEs
         in the fi nancial crisis, the Commission spent most of its time and staff  resources
         on a review of Fannie Mae, and for that reason this dissent focuses primarily on
         documents received from Fannie. However, things were not substantially diff erent
         at Freddie Mac. In a document dated June 4, 2009, entitled “Cost of Freddie Mac’s
         Aff ordable Housing Mission,” a report to the Business Risk Committee, of the Board
                   136
         of Directors,  several points were made that show the experience of Freddie was no
         diff erent than Fannie’s:
              •   Our housing goals compliance required little direct subsidy prior to 2003, but
                 since then subsidies have averaged $200 million per year.
              •   Higher credit risk mortgages disproportionately tend to be goal-qualifying.
                 Targeted aff ordable lending generally requires ‘accepting’ substantially higher
                 credit risk.

              •   We charge more for targeted (and baseline) aff ordable single-family loans, but not
                 enough to fully off set their higher incremental risk.
              •   Goal-qualifying single-family loans accounted for the disproportionate share of
                 our 2008 realized losses that was predicted by our models. (slide 2)
              •   In 2007 Freddie Mac failed two subgoals, but compliance was subsequently
                 deemed infeasible by the regulator due to economic conditions. In 2008 Freddie
                 Mac failed six goals and subgoals, fi ve of which were deemed infeasible. No
                 enforcement action was taken regarding the sixth missed goal because of our
                 fi nancial condition. (slide 3)
              •   Goal-qualifying loans tend to be higher risk. Lower household income correlates
                 with various risk factors such as less wealth, less employment stability, higher
                 loan-to-value ratios, or lower credit scores. (slide 7)
              •  Targeted  aff ordable loans have much higher expected default probabilities... Over
                 one-half of targeted aff ordable loans have higher expected default probabilities
                 than the highest 5% of non-goal-qualifying loans. (Slide 8)
              Th  e use of the aff ordable housing goals to force a reduction in the GSEs’
         underwriting standards was a major policy error committed by HUD in two
         successive administrations, and must be recognized as such if we are ever to
         understand what caused the fi nancial crisis. Ultimately, the AH goals extended the
         housing bubble, infused it with weak and high risk NTMs, caused the insolvency of
         Fannie and Freddie, and—together with other elements of U.S. housing policy—was
         the principal cause of the fi nancial crisis itself.
              When Congress enacted the Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008
         (HERA), it transferred the responsibility for administering the aff ordable housing
         goals from HUD to FHFA. In 2010, FHFA modifi ed and simplifi ed the AH goals,
         and eliminated one of their most troubling elements. As Fannie had noted, if the AH
         goals exceed the number of goals-eligible borrowers in the market, they were being
         forced to allocate credit, taking it from the middle class and providing it to low-
         income borrowers. In eff ect, there was a confl ict between their mission to advance
         aff ordable housing and their mission to maintain a liquid secondary mortgage
         136   Freddie Mac, “Cost of Freddie Mac’s Aff ordable Housing Mission,” Business Risk Committee, Board
         of Directors, June 4, 2009.
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