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Peter J. Wallison                    513


                                                124
         of predatory lending, with this product is great.”  But the product was approved
         by Freddie, probably for the reason stated by another Freddie employee: “Th e Alt-A
         [(low doc/no doc)] business makes a contribution to our HUD goals.” 125
              On May 5, 2006, a Fannie staff  memo to the Single Family Business Credit
         Committee revealed the serious credit and fi nancial problems Fannie was facing
         when acquiring subprime mortgages to meet the AH goals. Th  e memo describes
         the competitive landscape, in which “product enhancements from Freddie Mac,
         FHA, Alt-A and subprime lenders have all contributed to increased competition
         for goals rich loans…On the issue of seller contributions [in which the seller of the
         home pays cash expenses for the buyer] even FHA has expanded their guidelines
         by allowing 6% contributions for LTVs up to 97% that can be used toward closing,
         prepaid expenses, discount points and other fi nancing concessions.” 126
              Th  e memorandum is eye-opening for what it says about the credit risks
         Fannie had to take in order to get the goals-rich loans it needed to meet HUD’s
         AH requirements for 2006. Table 11 below shows the costs of NTMs in terms of the
         guarantee fee (G-fee) “gap.” (In order to determine whether a loan contributed to a
         return on equity, Fannie used a G-fee pricing model that took into account credit
         risk as well as a number of other factors; a G-fee “gap” was the diff erence between
         the G-fees required by the pricing model for a particular loan to contribute to a
         return on equity and a loan that did not.) Th  e table in this memo shows the results
         for three subprime products under consideration, a 30 year fi xed rate mortgage
         (FRM), a 5 year ARM, and 35 and 40 year fi xed rate mortgages. For simplicity, this
         analysis will discuss only the 30 year fi xed rate product. Th  e table shows that the base
         product, the 30 year FRM, with a zero downpayment should be priced according to
         the model at a G-fee of 106 basis points. However, the memo reports that Fannie is
         actually buying loans like that at a price consistent with an annual fee of 37.50 basis
         points, producing a gap (or loss from the model) of 68.50 basis points. Th e reason
         the gap is so large is shown in the table: the anticipated default rate on that zero-
         down mortgage was 34 percent. Th  e table then goes on to look at other possible loan
         alternatives, with the following results:


















         124   Freddie Mac, internal email, Donna Cogswell on behalf of David Andrukonis to Dick Syron, “RE: No
         Income/No Asset (NINA) Mortgages,” September 7, 2004.
         125   Freddie Mac, internal email from Mike May to Dick Syron, “FW: FINAL NINA Memo,” October 6, 2004.
         126   Fannie Mae, internal memo, Single Family Business Product Management and Development to Single
         Family Business Credit Committee, “RE: PMD Proposal for Increasing Housing Goal Loans,” May 5,
         2006, p.6.
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