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Peter J. Wallison                    459


         production line also includes almost $1 trillion in NTM lending by Countrywide
         Financial under HUD’s Best Practices Initiative. 22

                   Figure 2. Th e Eff ect of Government Policies on the Growth of the Bubble



























              It is not true that every bubble--even a large bubble-- has the potential to
         cause a fi nancial crisis when it defl ates. Th  is is clear in Table 2 below, prepared by
         Professor Dwight Jaff ee of the Haas Business School at U.C. Berkley. Th  e table shows
         that in other developed countries—many of which also had large bubbles during the
         1997-2007 period—the losses associated with mortgage delinquencies and defaults
         when these bubbles defl ated were far lower than the losses suff ered in the U.S. when
         the 1997-2007 defl ated.


























         22   See note 144.
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