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Appendix A




                           Complications costing

                           It is thought that the majority of phlebitis resolves after the removal of the cannula. The costs
                           of phlebitis are therefore attributed to the re-siting of the cannula and all associated equipment
                           and staffing costs. Phlebitis costs are summarised in Table A.11. Potential antibiotic costs for the
                           treatment have been excluded from the model. Extravasation injuries as a result of phlebitis have
                           also been excluded from the model. The assumption made by the model is that the majority of
                           these injuries will resolve themselves with no treatment.
                           The model assumes that if a patient is diagnosed with paralytic ileus they would be transferred
                           to IVT and therefore the costs of paralytic ileus are encapsulated in the downstream cost of IVT
                           and not as a separate cost.


                           Table A.11  Phlebitis costs
                           Item                     Cost   Notes
                           Cannula                  £0.78
                           Staff tasks:             £8.42  It is assumed that re-siteing the cannula and associated tasks
                           • Ametop® application           take approximately 15 minutes. These tasks are done by nurses
                           • cannulation and taking blood   (band 5) and a specialty registrar.
                            samples
                           • fluid preparation/attaching



                           ‘Worst case’ sensitivity analysis

                           In addition to the base case analysis, a ‘worst case’ analysis for ORT relative to IVT has been
                           considered. This was done in order to subject the findings of the base case model – that ORT
                           was more cost-effective – to the most vigorous scrutiny by biasing model assumptions, within
                           plausible limits, in favour of IVT. By carrying out a ‘worst case’ analysis, it is possible to determine
                           whether or not ORT remains the most cost-effective option even under assumptions that are
                           intended to represent the least favourable scenario for ORT.
                           Parameters changed for ORT

                           For this ‘worst case’ sensitivity analysis, the following changes were made:

                           Probabilities
                           For point estimates of proportions, the upper limit of the 95% confidence intervals were calculated
                           to obtain the highest probability of:
                           •  failure to rehydrate following ORT
                           •  paralytic ileus following ORT.

                           The implication of doing this is a higher percentage of patients failing ORT and therefore a higher
                           level of hospitalisation within ORT.

                           Staff
                           The GDG were asked to estimate the maximum time it could take staff to carry out ORT-related
                           tasks. These  time  values  were  used  to  calculate  the  maximum  costs  for  labour  for  ORT  (see
                           Table A.3).

                           Parameters changed for IVT
                           The ‘worst case’ favoured IVT and therefore the aim here was to cost up a much less resource-
                           intensive means of providing IVT. The following changes were made:

                           Probabilities
                           To try to make the best case for IVT, the probability of failing to hydrate following IVT and the
                           probability of complications (namely phlebitis) following IVT were changed to 0.


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