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7: FORESTS

                                          Key Message 3: Bioenergy Potential


                       Bioenergy could emerge as a new market for wood and could aid in the
                               restoration of forests killed by drought, insects, and fire.

          Bioenergy refers to the use of plant-based material to produce   wood and forest residues have emerged in the southern and
          energy, and comprises about 28% of the U.S. renewable energy   northeastern United States, particularly in states that have
          supply  (Ch. 10: Energy,  Water,  and Land). Forest resources   adopted renewable fuel standards. The economic viability of
          potentially could produce bioenergy from 504 million acres of   using forests for bioenergy depends on regional context and
          timberland and 91 million acres of other forested land (Figure   circumstances, such as species type and prior management,
          7.7).  Bioenergy from all  sources, including agricultural  and   land conditions, transport and storage logistics,  conversion
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          forests, could theoretically supply the equivalent of up to 30%   processes used to produce energy, distribution, and use.  The
          of current U.S. petroleum consumption, but only if all relevant   environmental and socioeconomic consequences of bioenergy
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          policies were optimized.  The maximum projected potential   production  vary greatly with  region  and  intensity of human
          for forest bioenergy ranges from 3% to 5% of total current U.S.   management.
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          energy consumption.
                                                                The potential for biomass energy to increase timber harvests
          Forest biomass energy could be one component of an overall   has led to debates about whether forest biomass energy
          bioenergy strategy to reduce emissions of carbon from fossil   leads to higher carbon emissions. 44,59  The debate on biogenic
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          fuels,  while also improving water quality 56,57  and maintaining   emissions regulations revolves around how to account for
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          lands for  timber  production as an alternative  to other   emissions related to biomass production and use.  The forest
          socioeconomic options. Active biomass energy markets using   carbon balance naturally changes over time and also depends
                                                                                   on forest management scenarios. For
                   Location of Potential Forestry Biomass Resources                example, utilizing natural beetle-killed
                                                                                   forests  will  yield  a different carbon
                                                                                   balance than growing and harvesting a
                                                                                   live, fast-growing plantation.

                                                                                   Markets for  energy  from biomass
                                                                                   appear to be ready to grow in
                                                                                   response  to energy  pricing,  policy,
                                                                                   and  demand, 44  although  recent
                                                                                   increases in the supply of natural gas
                                                                                   have  reduced the  perceived urgency
                                                                                   for  new biomass projects. Further,
                                                                                   because energy facilities typically buy
                                                                                   the lowest quality wood at prices that
                                                                                   rarely  pay  much more  than cutting
                                                                                   and hauling costs, they often require
                                                                                   a viable saw timber market nearby to
                                                                                   ensure  an adequate,  low-cost supply
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                                                                                   of material.  Where it is desirable to
                                                                                   remove dead wood after disturbances
                                                                                   to thin forests or  to dispose  of
                                                                                   residues,  a viable bioenergy industry
                                                                                   could finance such activities. However,
            Figure 7.7. Potential forestry bioenergy resources by 2030 at $80 per dry ton
            of biomass based on current forest area, production rates based on aggressive   the  bioenergy market has yet to be
            management for fast-growth, and short rotation bioenergy plantations. Units are   made a profitable enterprise in most
            oven dry tons (ODT) per square mile at the county level, where an ODT is 2,000   U.S. regions.
            pounds of biomass from which the moisture has been removed. Includes extensive
            material from existing forestland, such as residues, simulated thinnings, and some
            pulpwood for bioenergy, among other sources. (Figure source: adapted from U.S.
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            Department of Energy 2011 ).





                                                            182                      CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS IN THE UNITED STATES
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