Page 6 - Climate Change Impacts in the United States
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7: FORESTS


                                    Forests can be a Source – or a Sink – for Carbon

                                                                   Figure 7.4. Relative vulnerability of different forest regions to
                                                                   climate change is illustrated in this conceptual risk analysis
                                                                   diagram. Forest carbon exchange is the difference between
                                                                   carbon captured in photosynthesis and carbon released by
                                                                   respiration of vegetation and soils. Both photosynthesis and
                                                                   respiration are generally accelerated by higher temperatures,
                                                                   and slowed by water deficits, but the relative strengths
                                                                   of these controls are highly variable. Western forests are
                                                                   inherently limited by evaporation that exceeds precipitation
                                                                   during much of the growing season. Xeric (drier) eastern
                                                                   forests grow on shallow, coarse textured soils and experience
                                                                   water deficits during long periods without rain. Mesic (wetter)
                                                                   eastern forests experience severe water deficits only for
                                                                   relatively brief periods in abnormally dry years so the carbon
                                                                   exchanges are more controlled by temperature fluctuations.
                                                                                                        1
                                                                   (Figure source: adapted from Vose et al. 2012 ).


                                    Forest Carbon Sequestration and Carbon Management
                                                                                          3
          From the  onset of European settlement to the  start of the   million tons of carbon per year.  The amount of carbon taken
          last century,  changes in U.S. forest cover due  to expansion   up by U.S. land is dominated by forests (Figure 7.5), which have
          of agriculture, tree harvests, and  settlements resulted  in   annually absorbed 7% to 24% of fossil fuel carbon dioxide (CO 2)
          net emissions of carbon. 37,38  More recently, with  forests   emissions in the U.S. over the past two decades. The best
          reoccupying land previously used for agriculture, technological   estimate is that forests and wood products stored about 16%
          advances in harvesting, and changes in forest management,   (833 teragrams, or 918.2 million short tons, of CO 2 equivalent
          U.S. forests and associated wood products now serve  as a   in 2011) of all the CO 2 emitted annually by fossil fuel burning in
          substantial carbon sink, capturing and storing more than 227.6   the United States (see also “Estimating the U.S. Carbon Sink” in
                                                                        Ch. 15: Biogeochemical Cycles). 3
            Forest Growth Provides an Important Carbon Sink
                                                                        The future role of U.S. forests in the carbon cycle
                                                                        will be affected by climate change through changes
                                                                        in disturbances (see  Figures 7.3 and 7.4),  as well
                                                                        as shifts in  tree species, ranges, and  productivity
                                                                        (Figure 7.6). 19,38  Economic factors will  affect any
                                                                        future  carbon cycle  of forests,  as the  age  class
                                                                        and  condition  of  forests  are affected  by the
                                                                        acceleration  of  harvesting, 39,40  land-use changes
                                                                                         41
                                                                                                              42
                                                                        such as urbanization,  changes in forest types,  and
                                                                        bioenergy development. 41,43,44,45
                                                                        Efforts in  forestry to  reduce atmospheric CO 2
                                                                        levels have focused  on  forest management and
                                                                        forest product use.  Forest management strategies
                                                                        include land-use change to  increase forest area
                                                                        (afforestation) and/or  to avoid deforestation and
                                                                        optimizing carbon management in existing forests.
          Figure 7.5. Forests are the largest component of the U.S. carbon sink, but   Forest product-use strategies include the use of
          growth rates of forests vary widely across the country. Well-watered forests   wood wherever possible as a structural substitute
          of the Pacific Coast and Southeast absorb considerably more than the arid
          southwestern forests or the colder northeastern forests. Climate change   for steel and concrete, which require more carbon
                                                                                          38
          and disturbance rates, combined with current societal trends regarding   emissions to produce.  The carbon emissions offset
          land use and forest management, are projected to reduce forest CO2   from using wood rather than alternate materials for
                                   1
          uptake in the coming decades.  Figure shows average forest growth as   a range of applications can be two or more times the
          measured by net primary production from 2000 to 2006. (Figure source:   carbon content of the product. 47
                                     46
          adapted from Running et al. 2004 ).

                                                            180                      CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS IN THE UNITED STATES
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