Page 82 - 15Diarrhoeaandvomiting
P. 82

Fluid management




                           Evidence summary

                           A well-conducted systematic review [EL = 1++] did not find any significant difference in the
                           incidences of hyponatraemia, hypernatraemia, the mean duration of diarrhoea, weight gain or total
                           fluid intake in children treated with ORT compared with IVT. Although ORT was associated with
                           a 4% higher risk of rehydration failure, when the analysis was conducted using a homogeneous
                           definition  of  rehydration  failure,  no  statistically  significant  difference  was  seen.  Dehydrated
                           children treated with ORT had a significantly shorter stay in hospital and those receiving IVT
                           had a higher risk of phlebitis but no statistically significant differences were found between the
                           ORT and IVT groups for the other complications – hypernatraemia, paralytic ileus, abdominal
                           distension, peri-orbital oedema or seizures. Methodologically, there was great variation between
                           the trials with regard to the study population characteristics, composition of ORS solution and the
                           modes of administration of ORS solution.

                           Cost-effectiveness evidence
                           The  GDG  identified  two  treatment  alternatives  for  children  with  clinical  dehydration  as  a
                           priority for economic analysis. The results are summarised below; further details are available in
                           Appendix A.

                           A decision-analytical model was developed which aimed to compare the cost-effectiveness of
                           ORT versus IVT. All children are ultimately rehydrated regardless of which treatment they have
                           and therefore the model assumed equal clinical effectiveness for both treatment methods. The
                                                                         83
                           model probabilities were based on a Cochrane review  where the primary outcome was failure
                           to rehydrate. For patients on ORT, failure to rehydrate implies a requirement for IVT. Theoretically,
                           IVT should be able to replace fluid lost and manage continuing losses and therefore, for the
                           purposes of this model, it was assumed that IVT treatment ‘failure’ is where IVT is required for a
                           longer period of time. Complications from treatment were included in the model but limited to
                           outcomes where a statistically significant difference was reported at the 5% level in the Cochrane
                           review.  Costs  were  taken  from  standard  NHS/UK  sources  and  focused  on  resource  use  that
                           differed between the treatment alternatives.
                           A cost-minimisation approach was adopted for the base case analysis, as the cheapest option is
                           also the most cost-effective where effectiveness between alternatives is judged to be equivalent.
                           The base case analysis showed ORT to be the cheapest option. A ‘worst case’ analysis for ORT
                           relative to IVT was also undertaken. The rationale was to subject this cost-minimisation finding to
                           the most vigorous scrutiny by biasing model assumptions (within plausible limits) in favour of IVT.
                           Results of this ‘worst case’ analysis continued to favour the use of ORT as the most cost-effective
                           method of treating children with some dehydration. Further sensitivity analysis demonstrated
                           that the finding that ORT is cost-effective is not particularly sensitive to the baseline inputs of
                           the model. A threshold analysis was undertaken to assess the quality-adjusted life year (QALY)
                           gain that would be needed for IVT cost-effectiveness, given the differences in cost between the
                           alternatives. This showed that a larger QALY gain than could ever be expected from a small
                           improvement in time to cure (rehydrate) would be needed for the expensive treatment option
                           (IVT) to be considered cost-effective.

               5.2.2       ORT versus IVT for children with severe dehydration

                           Evidence overview
                           Two  randomised  trials  evaluated  the  effectiveness  and  safety  of  ORT  versus  IVT  in  severely
                           dehydrated children. Both of the trials were conducted in hospital settings – one in Iran and the
                           other in Indonesia. Owing to the nature of the treatment and control protocols, blinding and
                           allocation concealment was not done. One of these trials  was included in the Cochrane review
                                                                           84
                           described above. 83
                           In the RCT from Iran,  the study population included 470 children (age range 1–18 months)
                                              85
                           presenting with watery diarrhoea (>10 ml/kg per hour), vomiting (more than six times per 24 hours)
                           and two or more signs of severe dehydration (WHO criteria). They were recruited irrespective
                           of previous treatment and of their nutritional state, and included those presenting with shock.
                           Inclusion and exclusion criteria were not well defined and the method of randomisation was not



                                                                                                          57
   77   78   79   80   81   82   83   84   85   86   87