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INHERITANCE                                                 229

                                It is difficult to tell how reliable those conclusions are about polygenic
                              inheritance. Other models could be fit to the same data, with different
                              contributions of Mendelian loci, polygenic loci, and environment. I favor
                              the strong emphasis on polygenic inheritance, because most complex
                              quantitative traits in nature show extensive polygenic variation (Barton
                              and Keightley 2002; Houle 1992; Mousseau and Roff 1987). However,
                              statistical models are hard to test directly, because it is difficult to obtain
                              evidence that strongly supports one model and rules out other plausible
                              models. One is often left with conclusions that are based as much on
                              prior belief as on data.

                              DIRECT STUDIES OF VARIANTS AT MULTIPLE SITES
                                Ideally, one would like to know how particular genetic variants affect
                              the biochemistry of cells, and how those biochemical effects influence
                              progression to cancer. Although we are still a long way from this ideal,
                              recent studies of DNA repair genes provide hints about what could be
                              learned (Mohrenweiser et al. 2003).
                                Individuals vary in the ability of their cells to repair DNA damage
                              (Berwick and Vineis 2000). A relatively low repair efficiency is associated
                              with a higher risk of cancer. Presumably, the association arises because
                              higher rates of unrepaired somatic mutations and chromosomal aberra-
                              tions contribute to faster progression to cancer. Repair genes also play
                              a role in sensing genetic damage and initiating apoptosis.
                                Most studies of repair capacity measure the effects of mutagens on
                              DNA damage in lymphocytes. For example, a mutagen can be applied to
                              cultures of lymphocytes; after a period of time, damage can be measured
                              by the numbers of unrepaired single-strand or double-strand breaks, or
                              by incorporation of a radioisotope. To study the role of DNA repair
                              in cancer, measurements compare individuals with and without cancer.
                              Berwick and Vineis (2000) summarized 64 different studies that used
                              a variety of methods to quantify repair. In those studies, a relatively
                              low repair capacity was consistently associated with an approximately
                              2–10-fold increase in cancer risk.
                                Roughly speaking, repair efficiency has an inheritance pattern that is
                              typical of a quantitative trait. A few rare Mendelian disorders cause se-
                              vere deficiencies in repair capacity. Apart from those rare cases, repair
                              capacity shows a continuous pattern of variation and has a significant
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