Page 241 - 20dynamics of cancer
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226                                                CHAPTER 11



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                                            Age of onset  (a) 1.2  1.4  1.6  1.8  2.0  2.2  2.4








                                                58  60
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                                                  (b)
                                                    0.02   0.04   0.06   0.08
                                                            Polyphen

                              Figure 11.5  Association between cancer onset and the predicted functional
                              consequences of amino acid substitution in DNA repair genes measured by the
                              PolyPhen score. (a) A data set of 78 individuals culled from the literature, in
                              which each paper reported the age of onset and the associated amino acid sub-
                              stitution. The PolyPhen score was calculated for the single amino acid replace-
                              ment. Each observation provided a PolyPhen score and an age of onset. I first
                              sorted the observations by PolyPhen score. I then calculated a sliding window
                              of average values with a window size of 35. Each point in the figure shows the
                              average value of age and PolyPhen score in the window. (b) Individuals who
                              come from families with a tendency for early-onset colorectal cancer. For each
                              individual, DNA sequences were obtained from parts of the mismatch repair
                              genes Mlh1, Mlh2, and Mlh6. I used a window size of 25 for this analysis of
                              the 62 individuals with nonzero PolyPhen scores. I obtained these data and all
                              calculations of PolyPhen scores from the laboratory of Steven M. Lipkin at the
                              University of California, Irvine.





                              one or a few variant sites. The sliding window analysis in Figure 11.5b
                              demonstrates the predictive power of the PolyPhen scoring for age of
                              onset. In this case, the variants were collected blindly with regard to
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