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Neonatal jaundice





                         predict  serum  bilirubin  levels  ≥ 200 micromol/litre  was  calculated.  Blinding  of  the  outcome
                         assessors was not specified in three studies.

                         Review findings
                         The prevalence of hyperbilirubinaemia (serum bilirubin ≥ 290 micromol/litre) varied between
                         2.9% and 9.5% in the three studies, while in the Danish study 20.3% of the babies had serum
                         bilirubin levels ≥ 200 micromol/litre. The sensitivity of cord blood bilirubin to predict serum
                         bilirubin levels  ≥ 290–300 micromol/litre  ranged from 22% to 100%, while the specificity
                         ranged from 41% to 95%. The pooled sensitivity was 79% (95% CI  68% to 87%) and the
                         pooled specificity 60% (95% CI  58% to 62%), but there was strong  evidence of statistical
                         heterogeneity for both the pooled results with I² at 99.3% and 90.5%, respectively(Figures 4.3
                         and 4.4). The  Danish study   showed that  cord blood bilirubin  levels  with threshold value
                                                  29
                         ≥ 35 micromol/litre  had a sensitivity of 71% and specificity of 68% in predicting serum
                         bilirubin ≥ 200 micromol/litre. [EL II]





















                         Figure 4.3  Pooled specificity  of umbilical cord  blood bilirubin in predicting later hyperbili-
                         rubinaemia























                         Figure 4.4  Pooled sensitivity  of umbilical cord blood bilirubin in predicting later hyperbili-
                         rubinaemia


                         Evidence summary

                         Results from three EL II studies indicate great variation in the ability of cord blood bilirubin to
                         predict hyperbilirubinaemia in healthy term and preterm babies. Sensitivity ranged from 22% to
                         100% and specificity from 41% to 95%. The pooled sensitivity and specificity were 79% and
                         60%, respectively, but the results were marred by strong evidence of statistical heterogeneity.
                         The remaining  study  had  a sensitivity of 71% and specificity  of 68% in predicting serum
                         bilirubin ≥ 200 micromol/litre.


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