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             FINANCIAL CRISIS INQUIRY COMMISSION REPORT


         cause significant financial harm to its counterparty, which may have offsetting obli-
         gations to third parties and depend on prompt payment. Indeed, most OTC deriva-
         tives dealers hedge their contracts with offsetting contracts; thus, if they are owed
         payments on one contract, they most likely owe similar amounts on an offsetting
         contract, creating the potential for a series of losses or defaults. Since these contracts
         numbered in the millions and allowed a party to have virtually unlimited leverage,
         the possibility of sudden large and devastating losses in this market could pose a sig-
         nificant danger to market participants and the financial system as a whole.
           The Counterparty Risk Management Policy Group, led by former New York Fed
         President E. Gerald Corrigan and consisting of the major securities firms, had
         warned that a backlog in paperwork confirming derivatives trades and master agree-
                                                           
         ments exposed firms to risk should corporate defaults occur. With urging from
         New York Fed President Timothy Geithner, by September ,  major market
         participants had significantly reduced the backlog and had ended the practice of as-
         signing trades to third parties without the prior consent of their counterparties. 
           Large derivatives positions, and the resulting counterparty credit and operational
         risks, were concentrated in a very few firms. Among U.S. bank holding companies,
         the following institutions held enormous OTC derivatives positions as of June ,
         : . trillion in notional amount for JP Morgan, . trillion for Bank of
         America, . trillion for Citigroup, . trillion for Wachovia, and . trillion for
         HSBC. Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, which began to report their holdings
         only after they became bank holding companies in , held . and . tril-
         lion, respectively, in notional amount of OTC derivatives in the first quarter of
         . In , the current and potential exposure to derivatives at the top five U.S.
             
         bank holding companies was on average three times greater than the capital they had
         on hand to meet regulatory requirements. The risk was even higher at the investment
         banks. Goldman Sachs, just after it changed its charter, had derivatives exposure
         more than  times capital. These concentrations of positions in the hands of the
         largest bank holding companies and investment banks posed risks for the financial
         system because of their interconnections with other financial institutions.
           Broad classes of OTC derivatives markets showed stress in . By the summer
         of , outstanding amounts of some types of derivatives had begun to decline
         sharply. As we will see, over the course of the second half of , the OTC deriva-
         tives market would undergo an unprecedented contraction, creating serious prob-
         lems for hedging and price discovery.
           The Fed was uneasy in part because derivatives counterparties had played an im-
         portant role in the run on Bear Stearns. The novations by derivatives counterparties
         to assign their positions away from Bear—and the rumored refusal by Goldman to
         accept Bear as a derivatives counterparty—were still a fresh memory across Wall
         Street. Chris Mewbourne, a portfolio manager at PIMCO, told the FCIC that the
         ability to novate ceased to exist and this was a key event in the demise of Bear
         Stearns. 
           Credit derivatives in particular were a serious source of worry. Of greatest interest
         were the sellers of credit default swaps: the monoline insurers and AIG, which back-
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