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MARCH TO AUGUST : SYSTEMIC RISK CONCERNS
Notional Amount and Gross Market
Value of OTC Derivatives Outstanding
IN TRILLIONS OF DOLLARS, SEMIANNUAL
Notional Amount Gross Market Value
$800 $40
700 35
600 30
500 25
400 20
300 15
200 10
100 5
0 0
1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009
June 2010
SOURCE: Bank for International Settlements
Figure .
the global derivatives market. At the end of June , the notional amount of the
over-the-counter derivatives market was trillion and the gross market value was
trillion (see figure .). Adequate information about the risks in this market was
not available to market participants or government regulators like the Federal Re-
serve. Because the market had been deregulated by statute in , market partici-
pants were not subject to reporting or disclosure requirements and no government
agency had oversight responsibility. While the Office of the Comptroller of the Cur-
rency did report information on derivatives positions from commercial banks and
bank holding companies, it did not collect such information from the large invest-
ment banks and insurance companies like AIG, which were also major OTC deriva-
tives dealers. During the crisis the lack of such basic information created heightened
uncertainty.
At this point in the crisis, regulators also worried about the interlocking relation-
ships that derivatives created among the small number of large financial firms that
act as dealers in the OTC derivatives business. A derivatives contract creates a credit
relationship between parties, such that one party may have to make large and unex-
pected payments to the other based on sudden price or rate changes or loan defaults.
If a party is unable to make those payments when they become due, that failure may