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FINANCIAL CRISIS INQUIRY COMMISSION REPORT
similarly rated mortgage-backed securities, they were in demand, and that is why
CDO managers packed their securities with other CDOs.
And Merrill continued to push its CDO business despite signals that the market
was weakening. As late as the spring of , when AIG stopped insuring even the
very safest, super-senior CDO tranches for Merrill and others, it did not reconsider
its strategy. Cut off from AIG, which had already insured . billion of its CDO
bonds —Merrill was AIG’s third-largest counterparty, after Goldman and Société
Générale—Merrill switched to the monoline insurance companies for protection. In
the summer of , Merrill management noticed that Citigroup, its biggest com-
petitor in underwriting CDOs, was taking more super-senior tranches of CDOs onto
its own balance sheet at razor-thin margins, and thus in effect subsidizing returns for
investors in the BBB-rated and equity tranches. In response, Merrill continued to
ramp up its CDO warehouses and inventory; and in an effort to compete and get
deals done, it increasingly took on super-senior positions without insurance from
AIG or the monolines.
This would not be the end of Merrill’s all-in wager on the mortgage and CDO
businesses. Even though it did grab the first-place trophy in the mortgage-related
CDO business in , it had come late to the “vertical integration” mortgage model
that Lehman Brothers and Bear Stearns had pioneered, which required having a stake
in every step of the mortgage business—originating mortgages, bundling these loans
into securities, bundling these securities into other securities, and selling all of them
on Wall Street. In September , months after the housing bubble had started to
deflate and delinquencies had begun to rise, Merrill announced it would acquire a
subprime lender, First Franklin Financial Corp., from National City Corp. for .
billion. As a finance reporter later noted, this move “puzzled analysts because the
market for subprime loans was souring in a hurry.” And Merrill already had a
million ownership position in Ownit Mortgage Solutions Inc., for which it provided a
warehouse line of credit; it also provided a line of credit to Mortgage Lenders Net-
work. Both of those companies would cease operations soon after the First Franklin
purchase.
Nor did Merrill cut back in September , when one of its own analysts issued a
report warning that this subprime exposure could lead to a sudden cut in earnings,
because demand for these mortgages assets could dry up quickly. That assessment
was not in line with the corporate strategy, and Merrill did nothing. Finally, at the
end of , Kim instructed his people to reduce credit risk across the board. As it
would turn out, they were too late. The pipeline was too large.
REGULATORS: “ARE UNDUE CONCENTRATIONS
OF RISK DEVELOPING?”
As had happened when they faced the question of guidance on nontraditional mort-
gages, in dealing with the rapidly changing structured finance market the regulators
failed to take timely action. They missed a crucial opportunity. On January , ,
one year after the collapse of Enron, the U.S. Senate Permanent Subcommittee on In-