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Introduction





                         than English were not appraised. Both generic and specially developed methodological search
                         filters were used appropriately.
                         There  was  no  systematic  attempt  to  search  grey  literature  (conferences,  abstracts,  theses  and
                         unpublished  trials).  Hand  searching  of  journals  not  indexed  on  the  databases  was  not
                         undertaken.

                         Towards the end of the guideline development process, searches were updated and re-executed,
                         thereby including evidence published and included in the databases up to June 2009. Studies
                         identified after this date could only be included if they were specifically requested during the
                         consultation process. Evidence published after this date has not been included in the guideline.
                         This date should  be considered the starting  point for  searching for new evidence for future
                         updates to this guideline.
                         Further details of the  search strategies, including the methodological filters  employed,  are
                         presented in Appendix I.

                         Appraisal and synthesis of clinical effectiveness evidence
                         Evidence  relating  to  clinical  effectiveness  was  reviewed  using  established  guides 3-7;8   and
                         classified  using  the  established  hierarchical  system  presented  in  Table 2.2
                         (www.nice.org.uk/guidelinesmanual).  This system  reflects the  susceptibility  to  bias  that is
                         inherent in particular study designs.

                         The type of clinical question dictates the highest level of evidence that  may be sought. In
                         assessing the quality of the evidence, each study receives a quality rating coded as ‘++’, ‘+’ or
                         ‘−’.  For issues of therapy  or treatment, the highest possible  evidence level (EL) is a well-
                         conducted systematic review or meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials (RCTs; EL 1++)
                         or an individual RCT (EL 1+). Studies of poor quality are rated as ‘−’. Usually, studies rated as
                         ‘−’ should not be used as a basis for making a recommendation, but they can be used to inform
                         recommendations.  For  issues  of  prognosis,  the  highest  possible  level  of  evidence  is  a  cohort
                         study (EL 2). A level of evidence was assigned to each study, and to the body of evidence for
                         each question.

                         Table 2.2  Levels of evidence for intervention studies

                         Level    Source of evidence
                         1++      High-quality meta-analyses, systematic reviews of randomised controlled trials (RCTs), or RCTs
                                  with a very low risk of bias
                         1+       Well-conducted meta-analyses, systematic reviews of RCTs, or RCTs with a low risk of bias
                         1−       Meta-analyses, systematic reviews of RCTs, or RCTs with a high risk of bias
                         2++      High-quality systematic reviews of case–control or cohort studies; high-quality case–control or
                                  cohort studies with a very low risk of confounding, bias or chance and a high probability that
                                  the relationship is causal
                         2+       Well-conducted case–control or cohort studies with a low risk of confounding , bias or chance
                                  and a moderate probability that the relationship is causal
                         2−       Case–control or cohort studies with a high risk of confounding, bias or chance and a significant
                                  risk that the relationship is not causal
                         3        Non-analytical studies (e.g. case reports, case series)
                         4        Expert opinion, formal consensus

                         For each clinical question, the highest available level of evidence  was  selected. Where
                         appropriate, for example, if a systematic review, meta-analysis or RCT existed in relation to a
                         question,  studies of a weaker design were not considered. Where systematic reviews,  meta-
                         analyses and RCTs did not exist, other appropriate experimental or observational studies were
                         sought. For diagnostic tests, test evaluation studies examining the performance of the test were
                         used if the  efficacy  (accuracy) of the test was required, but where an evaluation of the
                         effectiveness of the test in the clinical management of patients and the outcome of disease was
                         required, evidence from RCTs or cohort studies was optimal. For studies evaluating the accuracy


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