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Peter J. Wallison                    479


         usefulness of AAA-rated PMBS as assets that Bear and others relied on for both
         capital and liquidity, and thus raised questions about the fi rm’s ability to meet its
         obligations. Investment banks like Bear Stearns were not commercial banks; instead
         of using short term deposits to hold long term assets—the hallmark of a bank—
         their business model relied on short-term funding to carry the short term assets
         of a trading business. Contrary to the views of the Commission majority, there is
         nothing inherently wrong with that business model, but it could not survive an
         unprecedented fi nancial panic as severe as that which followed the collapse in value
         of an asset class as large and as liquid as AAA-rated subprime PMBS.

         Mortgage Defaults at Record Rates Created Balance Sheet Losses
              Chairman Bair also pointed to the relationship between the decline in the
         value of PMBS and “the balance sheet strength” of fi nancial institutions that held
         these assets. Adding to liquidity-based losses, balance sheet writedowns were
         another major element of the loss transmission mechanism. Securitized assets held
         by fi nancial institutions are subject to the rules of fair value accounting, and must
         be marked to market under certain circumstances. Th  us, banks and other fi nancial
         institutions that are holding securitized mortgages in the form of PMBS could
         be subject to large accounting losses—but not necessarily cash losses—if investor
         sentiment were to turn against securitized mortgages and market values decline.
         Accordingly, once large numbers of delinquencies and losses started showing up in
         the mortgage markets generally and in the mortgage pools that backed the PMBS,
         it was not necessary for all the losses to be realized before the PMBS lost substantial
         value. All that was necessary was that the market for these assets become seriously
         impaired. Th  is is exactly what happened in the middle of 2007, leading immediately
         not only to severe adverse liquidity consequences for fi nancial institutions that held
         PMBS but also to capital writedowns that made them appear unstable and possibly
         insolvent.
              Th  ese mark-to-market capital losses could be greater than the actual
         credit losses to be anticipated. As one Federal Reserve study put it, “Th e fi nancial
         turmoil…put downward pressure on prices of structured fi nance products across
         the whole spectrum of [asset-backed] securities, even those with only minimal ties
         to the riskiest underlying assets…[I]n addition to discounts from higher expected
         credit risk, large mark-to-market discounts are generated by uncertainty about the
         quality of the underlying assets, by illiquidity, and by price volatility…Th is illiquidity
         discount is the main reason why the mark-to-market discount here, and in most
         similar analyses, is larger than the expected credit default rates on underlying
         assets.”  In other words, the illiquidity discount associated with the uncertainties in
              52
         value of collateral are and can be substantially larger than the credit default spread,
         since the spread refl ects only anticipated credit losses.
              As shown so dramatically in Figure 3, the collapse of the market for PMBS
         was a seminal event in the history of the fi nancial crisis. Even though delinquencies
         had only just begun to show up in mortgage pools, the absence of a functioning

         52   Daniel Beltran, Laurie Pounder and Charles Th  omas, “Foreign Exposure to Asset-Backed Securities of
         U.S. Origin,” Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, International Finance Discussion Papers
         939, August 2008, pp. 11-14.
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