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KEITH HENNESSEY, DOUGLAS HOLTZ-EAKIN, AND BILL THOMAS                



         House Price Appreciation in Selected Countries, 2002-2008
         The United States was one of many countries to experience rapid house price growth


         2002 INDEX = 100
                 United States        United Kingdom            Spain
         200
                                                                        192
                                                    158
         150
                              118
         100
             ’02  ’04  ’06  ’08    ’02  ’04  ’06  ’08     ’02  ’04  ’06  ’08

                  Australia              France                Ireland
         200

                              168
                                                     152
         150
                                                                         142

         100
             ’02  ’04  ’06  ’08    ’02  ’04  ’06  ’08     ’02  ’04  ’06  ’08
         SOURCES: Standard and Poors, Nationwide, Banco de España, AusStats, FNAIM, Permanent TSB





            • The report largely ignores the credit bubble beyond housing. Credit spreads de-
              clined not just for housing, but also for other asset classes like commercial real
              estate. This tells us to look to the credit bubble as an essential cause of the U.S.
              housing bubble. It also tells us that problems with U.S. housing policy or mar-
              kets do not by themselves explain the U.S. housing bubble.
            • There were housing bubbles in the United Kingdom, Spain, Australia, France
              and Ireland, some more pronounced than in the United States. Some nations
              with housing bubbles relied little on American-style mortgage securitization. A
              good explanation of the U.S. housing bubble should also take into account its
              parallels in other nations. This leads us to explanations broader than just U.S.
              housing policy, regulation, or supervision. It also tells us that while failures in
              U.S. securitization markets may be an essential cause, we must look for other
              things that went wrong as well.
            • Large financial firms failed in Iceland, Spain, Germany, and the United King-
              dom, among others. Not all of these firms bet solely on U.S. housing assets, and
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