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CRISIS AND PANIC                                                


         cally restrained from threatening an AIG bankruptcy because it had no actual plans
         to carry out such a threat” and that it was “uncomfortable interfering with the sanc-
         tity of the counterparties’ contractual rights with AIG,” which were “certainly valid
         concerns.” 
           Geithner has said he was confident that full reimbursement was “absolutely” the
         right decision. “We did it in a way that I believe was not just least cost to the taxpayer,
         best deal for the taxpayer, but helped avoid much, much more damage than would
         have happened without that.” 
           New York Fed officials told the FCIC that threats to AIG’s survival continued after
         the  billion loan on September .   “If you don’t fix the [securities] lending or
         the CDOs, [AIG would] blow through the  billion. So we needed to stop the suck-
         ing chest wound in this patient,” Dahlgren said. “It wasn’t just AIG—it was the finan-
         cial markets. . . . It kept getting worse and worse and worse.” 
           Baxter told the FCIC that Maiden Lane III stopped the “hemorrhage” from AIG
         Financial Products, which was paying collateral to counterparties by drawing on the
          billion government loan. In addition, because Maiden Lane III received the
         CDOs underlying the CDS, “as value comes back in those CDOs, that’s value that is
         going to be first used to pay off the Fed loan; . . . the likely outcome of Maiden Lane
         III is that we’re going to be paid in full,” he said. 
           In total, the Fed and Treasury had made available over  billion in assistance
         to AIG to prevent its failure.   As of September , , the total outstanding assis-
         tance has been reduced to . billion, primarily through the sale of AIG business
         units. 


                          CITIGROUP: “LET THE WORLD KNOW
                         THAT WE WILL NOT PULL A LEHMAN”

         The failed bid for Wachovia reflected badly on Citigroup. Its stock fell  on Octo-
         ber , , the day Wachovia announced that it preferred Wells’s offer, and another
          within a week. “Having agreed to do the deal was a recognition on our part that
         we needed it,” Edward “Ned” Kelly III, vice chairman of Citigroup, told the FCIC.
         “And if we needed it and didn’t get it, what did that imply for the strength of the firm
         going forward?” 
           Roger Cole, then head of banking supervision at the Federal Reserve Board, saw
         the failed acquisition as a turning point, the moment “when Citi really came under
         the microscope.” “It was regarded [by the market] as an indication of bad manage-
         ment at Citi that they lost the deal, and had it taken away from them by a smarter,
         more astute Wells Fargo team,” Cole told the FCIC. “And then here’s an organization
         that doesn’t have the core funding [insured deposits] that we were assuming that they
         would get by that deal.” 
           Citigroup’s stock rose  the day after the Columbus Day announcement that it
         would receive government capital, but the optimism did not last. Two days later, Citi-
         group announced a . billion net loss for the third quarter, concentrated in sub-
         prime and Alt-A mortgages, commercial real estate investments, and structured
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