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SEPTEMBER 2008:
THE BAILOUT OF AIG
CONTENTS
“Current liquidity position is precarious”...........................................................
“Spillover effect” .................................................................................................
“Like a gnat on an elephant”..............................................................................
Nine billion dollars is a lot of money, but as AIG executives and the board examined
their balance sheet and pondered the markets in the second week of September ,
they were almost certain billion in cash could not keep the company alive through
the next week. The AIG corporate empire held more than trillion in assets, but
most of the liquid assets, including cash, were held by regulated insurance sub-
sidiaries whose regulators did not allow the cash to flow freely up to the holding
company, much less out to troubled subsidiaries such as AIG Financial Products.
The company’s liabilities, especially those due in the near future, were much larger
than the billion on hand.
On Friday, September , , AIG was facing challenges on a number of fronts.
It had to fund . billion of its own commercial paper on that day because tradi-
tional investors—for example, money market funds—no longer wanted even short-
term unsecured exposure to AIG; and the company had another . billion coming
due the following week. On another front, the repo lenders—who had the comfort
of holding collateral for their loans to AIG (. billion in mostly overnight fund-
ing) —were nonetheless becoming skittish about the perceived weakness of the com-
pany and the low quality of most of its collateral: mortgage-related securities.
On a third front, AIG had already put up billions of dollars in collateral to its
credit default swap counterparties. By June of , counterparties were demanding
. billion, and AIG had posted . billion. By September , the calls had
soared to . billion, and AIG had paid . billion—. billion to Goldman
alone—and it looked very likely that AIG would need to post billions more in the
near future. That day, S&P and Moody’s both warned of potential coming down-
grades to AIG’s credit rating, which, if they happened, would lead to an estimated
billion in new collateral calls. A downgrade would also trigger liquidity puts that