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THE BUST                                                      



         Impaired Securities
         Impairment of 2005-2007 vintage mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and CDOs as
         of  year-end 2009, by initial rating. A security is impaired when it is downgraded to
         C or Ca, or when it suffers a principal loss.

         IN BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

         $1,000

                                                       Not impaired
           800                                         Impaired


           600


           400

           200


            0
                  Aaa   Aa thru B      Aaa   Aa thru B     Aaa    Aa thru B
                    Alt-A MBS          Subprime  MBS           CDOs
         SOURCE: Moody’s Investors Service, “Special Comment: Default & Loss Rates of Structured Finance Securities:
         1993-2009”; Moody’s SFDRS.


         Figure .


         minent or had already been suffered—by the end of  (see figure .). For the
         lower-rated Baa tranches, . of Alt-A and . of subprime securities were im-
         paired. In all, by the end of ,  billion worth of subprime and Alt-A tranches
         had been materially impaired—including . billion originally rated triple-A. The
         outcome would be far worse for CDO investors, whose fate largely depended on the
         performance of lower-rated mortgage-backed securities. More than  of Baa CDO
         bonds and . of Aaa CDO bonds were ultimately impaired. 
           The housing bust would not be the end of the story. As Chairman Bernanke testi-
         fied to the FCIC: “What I did not recognize was the extent to which the system had
         flaws and weaknesses in it that were going to amplify the initial shock from subprime
         and make it into a much bigger crisis.” 
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