Page 207 - 20dynamics of cancer
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192                                                 CHAPTER 9

                                I do not use the common classification that divides the effects of car-
                              cinogens into initiation, promotion, and progression. That classification
                              primarily arises from the tendency of certain agents, at certain doses,
                              to have stronger effects when applied before or after other agents. Such
                              patterns certainly exist and must, to some extent, be correlated with
                              mechanism of action. Indeed, initiators do sometimes act as direct mu-
                              tagens that cause particular mutations early in tumor formation, and
                              promoters do often act as mitogens. But there are many exceptions with
                              regard to the consistency of the patterns, and the connections to mech-
                              anism often remain vague and somewhat speculative (Iversen 1995).
                                My focus on variation and selection does not set a mutually exclu-
                              sive alternative against the classical initiation-promotion-progression
                              scheme. Instead, my emphasis on variation and selection simply puts
                              the processes of tumor evolution ahead of the sometimes debatable pat-
                              terns for the ordering of consequences under certain experimental con-
                              ditions.
                                I place carcinogenic mechanism in the context of multistage progres-
                              sion, measured by shifts in age-onset curves. I therefore emphasize how
                              certain mechanisms affect rate processes and the time course of tumor
                              formation. For example: How does a carcinogenic agent affect the rate
                              of transition between particular stages? How many stages does an agent
                              affect? Does a particular agent have an effect only on tissues that have
                              already progressed to a certain stage? Put concisely, the issues concern
                              changes in rate, number of stages affected, and order of effects.

                                          MUTAGENS: INCREASE HERITABLE VARIATION

                                I begin with background observations from the mouse skin model
                              of chemical carcinogenesis (Slaga et al. 1996). I then interpret those
                              observations in terms of hypotheses about rate, number, and order.

                              BACKGROUND
                                The first step in skin tumor development often appears to be a muta-
                              tion to H-ras that causes an amino acid substitution at codon positions
                              12, 13, or 61 in the phosphate binding domain of the protein (Brown
                              et al. 1990). Those substitutions can abrogate negative regulation of the
                              Ras signal that stimulates cell division (Barbacid 1987).
                                Different carcinogens induce different spectra of mutation to H-ras
                              isolated from papillomas or carcinomas of mouse skin. Table 9.1 shows
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