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               NATURAL HISTORY OF HIV INFECTION

                       On average, there is a period of 8 to 10 years from initial infection to clinical AIDS in
               adults, though AIDS may be manifested in less than two years or be delayed in onset beyond 10
               years.[191]  About 10% of persons will rapidly progress to AIDS in 2 to 3 years following HIV
               infection, while about 10% have not progressed to AIDS even after 10 years.[192]  It is clear that
               the longer an individual is infected, the more likely the development of illness and subsequent
               death will be.  Thus, HIV infection does not follow the pattern of more traditional viral diseases
               in which the risk of serious illness or death decreases with time.  There has been no study to date
               that shows a failure of HIV-infected persons to evolve to clinical AIDS over time, though the
               speed at which this evolution occurs may vary, and a small number of HIV-infected persons will
               not progress to AIDS for many years.[115]
                       Primary HIV infection, also known as acute retroviral syndrome, may produce a mild and
               self-limited disease in 50 to 90% of persons infected with HIV, regardless of the mode of
               transmission.  The time from mucosal infection to viremia is about 4 to 11 days.  The time from
               exposure to development of symptoms averages 2 to 6 weeks.  The symptoms may persist for 1
               to 2 weeks, after which symptoms subside over 1 to 2 months.  Prospective studies of acute HIV
               infections show that fever, fatigue, arthralgia or myalgia, lymphadenopathy, pharyngitis, diffuse
               erythematous macular or mixed maculopapular rash (often involving the trunk), diarrhea, nausea
               or vomiting, weight loss, night sweats, mucocutaneous ulcerations, and headache are the most
               common symptoms seen with acute HIV infection.  An acute meningoencephalitis may be seen
               in some recent infections and appear as an “aseptic meningitis.”  The symptoms of acute HIV
               infection resemble a flu-like or an infectious mononucleosis-like syndrome.  Primary HIV
               infection is not life-threatening.[193,194]  Primary HIV infection in children is usually
               accompanied by one or more of the following:  mononucleosis-like syndrome, dermatitis, or
               generalized lymphadenopathy.[195]
                       In acute HIV infection, the peripheral blood may demonstrate lymphopenia and/or
               thrombocytopenia.  However, atypical lymphocytes are absent.  Although the CD4 cells are
               decreasing, the levels may initially remain in the normal range, but depletion continues.
               Simultaneously, there is an increase in cytotoxic CD8 lymphocytes that continues as symptoms
               subside and viremia decreases.[194]
                       During this acute phase of HIV infection, there is active viral replication, particularly in
               CD4 lymphocytes, and a marked HIV viremia.  This peripheral blood viremia is at least as high
               as 50,000 copies/mL and often in the range of 1,000,000 to 10,000,000 copies/mL of HIV-1
               RNA.  High titers of cytopathic HIV are detectable in the blood so that the p24 antigen test is
               usually (but not always) positive, while HIV antibody tests (such as enzyme immunoassay) are
               often negative in the first three weeks.  The viremia is greater in persons whose primary HIV
               infection is symptomatic.[21,86,193,194]
                       During this viremic phase, HIV disseminates throughout the body to lymphoid tissues
               and other organs such as brain.  There are alterations in peripheral blood mononuclear cells
               marked by a decline in CD4+ lymphocytes.  Persons acutely infected with HIV are highly
               infectious because of the high levels of HIV, both in blood as well as in genital secretions.  Over
               half of all HIV infections may be transmitted during this period.[193]
                       Generally, within 3 weeks to 3 months following initial infection with HIV, the immune
               response is accompanied by a simultaneous decline in HIV viremia.  Both humoral and cell
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