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researchers should avoid interpreting analyses to suggest that men with certain demographic (or
               other nonmodifiable) features are most likely to accept treatment and thus other men should not
               receive the offer of treatment.
                   Further surveys of patients, their families, and their clinicians are warranted. To improve
               reliability, these should be adequately powered to ensure that sufficient numbers of men were
               treated with different interventions and to allow full analyses of the tested predictors. Studies
               should use established methods including standardized qualitative research designs and, ideally,
               validated questionnaires to elicit preferences. Studies of this sort also need to consider the overall
               adequacy of discussion with patients regarding management options—and documentation of
               those discussions. Adequate documentation of these discussions will surely improve the veracity
               of some of these survey data.
                   Though not requested by the sponsors, future Key Questions of interest to be addressed by
               systematic review and primary studies could include comparisons of interventions that improve
               the likelihood that eligible men are offered AS, that improve acceptance of AS, and that improve
               adherence with AS. Arguably, it is more important to first establish how to successfully get men
               offered, accepting, and adhering to AS before determining which men are at greatest risk of
               failing to receive AS. If no intervention successfully improves the likelihood that men will
               adhere to AS, it may not be particularly relevant to flag those men most at risk of nonadherence.
                   Another issue for consideration could be when and how to discuss with patients the option of
               transitioning from AS to either WW or other nontreatment protocols, for those patients who may
               decide that they might no longer desire curative treatment regardless of progression.

               Key Question 4. Active Surveillance Versus Immediate

               Curative Treatment

                   An RCT with long followup would provide the best evidence to adequately assess the
               differential effects between AS and immediate curative treatment. The least biased, most reliable
               study design comparing two interventions is the RCT that adheres to modern methodological
               standards. While the patient and his clinicians cannot be blinded to his treatment plan, outcome
               assessors—particularly those who conduct psychometric testing—should be blinded. The
               primary outcomes of interest should be the same as those listed above, under research needs for
               Key Question 2, namely patient-centered clinical outcomes, including psychometric
               measurements, adverse events, resource utilization, and costs. However, we acknowledge that
               conducting and completing an adequately powered trial of sufficient duration may be challenging
               and resource-intensive. The greatest difficulty is likely to be recruiting sufficient physicians and
               patients who are willing to allow chance to dictate the choice between AS and immediate
               treatment (note that the Active Surveillance Therapy Against Radical Treatment in Patients
               Diagnosed With Favorable Risk Prostate Cancer (START) has been terminated because of not
                                     g
               meeting accrual target ). One will also need to factor in the probability of acceptance of the
               scientific equipoise across these treatment options in maximizing recruitment (witness the rapid
               enrollment in the Prostate Testing for Cancer and Treatment trial (ProtecT) discussed further in
               the Discussion). Trials would then need to be of sufficiently long duration to collect data on the
               clinically relevant outcomes.
                   In lieu of RCTs, adequate findings may be possible from long-term databases with
               prospectively collected data. However, these studies ideally should also use AS protocols that are


               g  See http://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT00499174; last accessed September 30, 2011.



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