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Appendix D: Cost-effectiveness of intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG)





                         Table D.4  Cost–benefit parameters

                         Parameter                 Value   Source                 Notes
                         QALY gain from averted    25                             Approximately 75 to 80 years of
                         exchange transfusion mortality                           life lived in full health
                         Willingness to pay for a QALY  £20,000 NICE guidelines manual   An advisory threshold of
                                                          (2009) 237              £20,000 to £30,000 is
                                                                                  suggested in the manual
                         Discount rate             3.5%   NICE guidelines manual
                                                          (2009) 237



              D.4        Results

                         The results  with base-case values are  shown in Tables D.5 and  D.6 for  Rhesus  haemolytic
                         disease and ABO haemolytic disease, respectively.


                         Table D.5  Cost-effectiveness  of  IVIG  for  babies  with  Rhesus  haemolytic  disease  with  base-case
                         model values

                         Treatment        Cost            Mortality       QALY loss        ICER
                         No IVIG          £2,108          0.02            0.5              –
                         IVIG             £2,670          0.01            0.25             £2,248 per QALY


                         Table D.6  Cost-effectiveness of IVIG for babies with ABO haemolytic disease with base case model
                         values
                         Treatment        Cost            Mortality       QALY loss        ICER
                         No IVIG          £2,108          0.02            0.5              –
                         IVIG             £3,302          0.016           0.4              £11,944 per QALY

                         With base-case values,  IVIG appears to be  cost-effective in babies with  Rhesus and ABO
                         haemolytic disease with incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) of less than £20,000 per
                         QALY. The treatment appears to be  most cost-effective in babies  with  Rhesus haemolytic
                         disease, which is because the data suggest a lower NNT to avoid an exchange transfusion. If
                         more exchange transfusions are avoided, that has a beneficial effect on both ‘downstream’ costs
                         and averted mortality.


              D.5        Sensitivity analysis

                         The results for the base-case analysis are only as reliable as the base-case inputs that produce
                         them. There is important  uncertainty in some of these inputs,  especially with respect to
                         exchange transfusion mortality and the NNT to avoid exchange transfusion. The 95%
                         confidence intervals for the NNT were as follows:
                         •   Rhesus haemolytic disease: 1.6 to 3
                         •   ABO haemolytic disease: 3 to 13
                         In exploring  this uncertainty,  there is limited value  in exploring scenarios where exchange
                         transfusion mortality is higher than the base case, the NNT is lower than the base case and the
                         cost differential between exchange transfusion and IVIG is bigger than the base case. That is not
                         to say that such scenarios are implausible but rather they would simply reinforce the observed
                         cost-effectiveness of treatment. Rather, we are more interested in subjecting the cost-effectiveness
                         finding to scrutiny by observing the extent to which the cost-effectiveness would still hold with
                         the least propitious but still plausible scenarios. Therefore, the sensitivity analyses take a ‘worst-
                         case’ scenario with respect to clinical parameters and a threshold approach to costs.


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